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Investing In Action: Valuation Insights
Carl Hall, CFA
Chief Investment Officer

Our Insights

Second Quarter 2018

We hope your summer is off to a great start. As we noted last quarter, some normalcy has returned to the capital markets following an eerily quiet 2017. We expect that the reemergence of volatility in both equity and fixed income markets, as witnessed in the first six months of this year, will continue for the rest of 2018...

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First Quarter 2018

The only thing more volatile than the New England weather during the first months of 2018 may have been global financial markets. Volatility returned with a vengeance, first in February, and then again in late March. With US equity markets experiencing selloffs not seen in years, the complacency that defined 2017 came to an...

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Fourth Quarter 2017

Happy New Year from Wealth Management at Century Bank! We hope this letter finds you well. It seemed like 2017 had a decade’s worth of newsworthy events packed into twelve short months. Despite all the political polarization, rising geopolitical tensions and a scaling back of easy monetary policy, capital markets had a banner year. Volatility was subdued throughout 2017 and stock markets rewrote the record books as the bull market marched on....


Third Quarter 2017

We are now three-quarters of the way through 2017 and capital markets continue to impress us—in both good and bad ways. US stock markets posted multiple record highs over the course of the quarter with the S&P 500 returning 4.48%. Global equities, as measured by the MSCI ACWI Index, were up 5.18%. Both the Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index and the Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index posted positive returns for the quarter, up 0.85% and 1.76%, respectively....


Second Quarter 2017

Equity markets continued their impressive 2017 performance in the second quarter, although markets cooled off over the course of the most recent 3-month period, particularly in June. For the first six months of 2017, the S&P 500 Index is up 9.34%. After a posting a return of 6.07% in the first quarter of the year, the S&P 500 returned 3.09% in the second quarter, including a 0.62% return in June. The MSCI All Country World Index followed a very similar pattern. The MSCI ACWI is up 11.48% this year, posting a second quarter return of 4.27% (6.91% in the first quarter), including a 0.45% return in June. Matching the torrid pace of the first quarter was unlikely, however when put together, the first half of 2017 has demonstrated the resiliency of the equity bull market. Strong corporate earnings over the next couple of quarters may drive markets to even higher highs in 2017, but the lack of volatility seen so far this year is unlikely to be replicated going forward. ...


First Quarter 2017

Both domestic and international equity markets continued their upward climb in the first quarter of 2017. The S&P 500 posted an advance of 6.07% while the MSCI All Country World Index rose 6.91%. Bond returns were also positive with the Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index rising a modest 0.82% while the Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Index advanced 1.76%....


Price vs. Value

Famed investor Warren Buffett is prolific when it comes to offering insight about stock market valuations. "Price is what you pay. Value is what you get" is my favorite. There are many ways investors can assess the "valuation" of the stock market. Just as we compare prices for various goods on Amazon.com, stocks also come with a price tag. The most common valuation metric used for stocks is the P/E or price-to-earnings ratio. While other approaches are more appropriate for industry-specific analysis, such as price-to-book for banks, the P/E is a widely-accepted metric in assessing the overall stock market's valuation. A simple example of a P/E is the following: if a stock earned $2 per share last year and it is currently trading at a price of $40 per share, the trailing 'P/E' is 20. ...
 
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